WASHINGTON (AP) — Once deeply vulnerable, President Barack Obama has seen his fortunes take a dramatic turn for the better as the Republican Party splits between its historic business-friendly establishment and the powerful tug of more conservative and social issues voters.

Burdened throughout his term by the most severe economic downturn since the Great Depression, Obama was expected to be hard pressed to hold on the White House in November.

But eight months before Election Day, things have changed. That's partly because the economy is finally showing signs of a sustained recovery.

But the new wind at Obama's back blowing just as powerfully is the GOP nominating fight, which is dragging Republican candidates deep into conservative fights over social issues — territory from which may be hard for the final GOP nominee to escape.

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