(Bloomberg) President Donald Trump is now more likely than everto end his first year in office without a single major legislativeaccomplishment.

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His Obamacare repeal collapsed Tuesday. Hewon’t even release the broad outlines of his tax overhaul planuntil September. The last time Washington did a major tax bill, in1986, it took more than a year. A $1 trillion infrastructure planis little more than a talking point. Congress ignored his budgetproposal. Republicans are as divided on all of these issues as theyare on health care. Lawmakers haven’t even given him money to buildhis border wall.

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And between now and the end of the year, Congress still has toapprove more than $1 trillion in federal spending, pass a veteranshealth-care bill and navigate a debt-ceiling fight to avoid apotential default, all in the space of about a dozen working weeks.It doesn’t leave much time for legislating, even for a Republicanpresident who came into office with a package of promises and aRepublican Senate and a Republican House to boot.

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The White House pledges next time will bedifferent — preparing to launch a tax overhaul effort,complete with a coordinated strategy and travel by Trump to keystates to promote the plan, something he never did in a concertedway with the Obamacare repeal. The administration is askingcorporate chief executives and conservative groups to pitch in withmedia appearances and town halls and is recruiting governors andlocal officials to do the same.

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That still might not be enough. The failed fight over theAffordable Care Act exposed weaknesses that imperil much of Trump’sagenda: a historically unpopular and inattentive political novicein the Oval Office, an uncompromising hard-right wing on CapitolHill, and their leadership’s inability to bridge internalphilosophical divides.

Fruitless Months

The first casualty of the Obamacare debate is time: sixfruitless months exhausted on a subject Republican leaders hadhoped to dispatch in January. And this was supposed to be the easyone. Since 2010, Republicans had promised a repeal. Trump andRepublicans campaigned hard on the issue. Yet despite full controlof Washington, they couldn’t get it done.

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“Every Republican for the last seven years has campaigned onrepealing Obamacare,” Republican Senator Ted Cruz of Texas saidTuesday. “I think the credibility of the conference is seriouslyundermined if we fail to deliver on that promise.”

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On Wednesday, Trump said he planned to meet with Republicansenators for lunch at the White House to see if they could tryagain to get a health-care bill through the chamber. “They MUSTkeep their promise to America!” he tweeted. “The Republicans neverdiscuss how good their healthcare bill is, & it will get evenbetter at lunchtime.”

Surprised By Defections

Even by the standards of Trump’s own instincts to delegate thedetail work, the president was unusually disconnected from thedebate as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s health-care bill veered off course.

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Last week, he traveled to Paris to participate in Bastille Dayfestivities with French President Emmanuel Macron. On Friday, hewent directly from Paris to his club in Bedminster, New Jersey,where he spent nearly nine hours over three days on the golf coursewatching the U.S. Women’s Open. On Monday, he kicked off the WhiteHouse’s “Made in America” week with a photo op in which he sat in afire truck on the South Lawn, tried on a cowboy hat and hefted abaseball bat.

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Two Republican senators, Mike Lee of Utah and Jerry Moran ofKansas, were meanwhile planning to publicly defect from theObamacare legislation.

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“I was very surprised when the two folks came out last nightbecause we thought they were in fairly good shape,” he toldreporters Tuesday at the White House.

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Trump gamely tried to put the blame on Democrats. “We’re notgoing to own it,” he said “I’m not going to own it. I can tell youthe Republicans are not going to own it.”

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The public would disagree. Americans say they would blame Trumpand Republicans for a problems in the health care system overDemocrats by 59 percent to 30 percent, according to a Kaiser FamilyFoundation poll taken June 14-19.

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All 52 Republican senators were invited to the White House forlunch on Wednesday to discuss health care with Trump, White Housespokesman Ninio Fetalvo said.

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Currency markets reacted strongly as traders concluded Trump’soverall agenda is imperiled. The dollar slid to a 14-month lowagainst the euro.

Pivot to Taxes

The White House argues that Trump has been successful outside oflegislation. He won confirmation of his nominee for the SupremeCourt, Neil Gorsuch, and his administration is making steadyprogress on deregulation.

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Congressional Republican leaders and the White House have to nowfigure out whether they can salvage any of their legislativeagenda, particularly the promise of major tax cuts.

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The Obamacare repeal effort has weighed on the popularity ofboth Trump and his party. The public rejected the health-carelegislation they drafted mostly behind closed doors without anyDemocratic input. Trump’s approval rating is 40 percent.

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The president says he’s ready to abandon health care and move onto tax cuts he believes will goose the economy.

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“It will go on and we’ll win, we’re gonna win on taxes, we’regoing to win on infrastructure and lots of other things that we’redoing,” Trump said.

Congressional Priorities

But the Senate isn’t quite done with health care. McConnellstill plans a vote on a repeal bill early next week. And heacknowledged that if it fails the Senate may hold bipartisanhearings on legislation to stabilize Obamacare’s health insurancemarkets -- exactly what the Senate Democratic leader and Trumpfoil, Chuck Schumer of New York, has sought for months.

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White House officials say they’ve learned lessons from thehealth-care experience, and they believe Republicans, desperate fora political win after the collapse of the Obamacare bill, can rallyaround a compromise tax plan.

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Rather than letting the House and Senate draft their ownversions of the bill, as the White House did with health care, theadministration plans to release a unified framework for changes tothe tax code — with compromises on rates and loopholesalready baked in and signed off by leaders in both chambers.

September Release

A small group of top Republican leaders — McConnell;House Speaker Paul Ryan; Senator Orrin Hatch of Utah andRepresentative Kevin Brady of Texas, who chair the Senate and Housetax-writing committees; Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin andNational Economic Council Director Gary Cohn — arediscussing high-level principles for an overhaul, according to oneperson familiar with the matter.

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They aim to outline their principles by the end of the month,vet them with members of Congress in August and release a plan inSeptember, the person said. Debate would extend through thefall.

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White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer is developing acomprehensive messaging strategy, recruiting surrogates andinterest groups to support the legislation even before the detailsare final.

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Marc Short, the head of the president’s legislative affairsteam, has said he recognizes that opponents of the health care billdid a better job rallying their supporters.

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