I'm getting tired of "studies" (mostly: subtle or not-so-subtle position papers) talking about whether the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act exchanges are wild successes or miserable failures based on:
- One shaky indicator.
- One small set of shaky indicators.
- In the case of PPACA supporters: joyous predictions of utopia based on numbers that an analyst at the Congressional Budget Office, a fellow at the Urban Institute, or a cat's Ouija board cooked up.
Example: The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services was supposed to get the exchange applications from would-be exchange plan sellers by this past Friday.
HHS has not posted any application quantity numbers, which might be a genuinely bad sign.
Some people who really dislike the exchanges have pointed out that some state exchanges might not attract all that many carriers.
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