It's that time of year again. The Christmas rush — and stress — is over and things get quiet before the New Year revelry takes hold.

In the meantime, we're all looking ahead. Whether it's spring fever, eyeing the midterm elections or even going so far as to start pondering the next presidential race — a prospect that's much more compelling under the shadow of a lumbering health care law and the lack of an incumbent.

Karl Rove, a former Benefits Selling Expo keynoter, already jumped out with his latest batch of 2014 prognostications in the Wall Street Journal earlier this week.

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One of Rove's bolder proclamations is that the Obamacare individual mandate penalty will be waived next year. Now, while the former Bush operative is pretty astute about most things politically — despite his last election night meltdown — I think he's dead wrong about this one. And it's a fool's errand to buy into it. While waivers and delays have certainly been this president's modus operandi concerning his signature legislation, there's no way in hell this is gonna happen. I'd see the president canning Kathleen Sebelius before this happens. (And, for the record, I don't see that happening, either.)

Rove's other political predictions bear examination. For starters, Rove proclaimed, "Republicans will lose a net of one or two of their 30 governorships. They'll add to their numbers in statewide offices and state legislatures and see more Latino, Asian-American, African-American and women Republicans elected up and down the ballot."

Given his gift for numbers, I won't argue with this point. But I'd also say that just as the federal health care law rollout hurt the president's numbers (not that he has to care anymore), I could see it just as easily hurt governors across the board. The Dems could be in trouble given their association with the law, and Republicans who've hurt their states' residents by refusing the Medicaid expansion. I could see this turning out to be a pretty even swap.

Finally, Rove weighs in on the Tea Party's rise. Or, in this case, their potential fall.

"Every Republican senator and virtually every representative challenged in a primary as insufficiently conservative will win," Rove writes. "In reaction to Obamacare, GOP political divisions are giving way to unity. Tens of millions more Americans will lose their coverage and find that new Obamacare plans have higher premiums, larger deductibles and fewer doctors. Enrollment numbers will be smaller than projected and budget outlays will be higher. The White House will blame insurers and Republicans for the law's continuing failures."

This makes sense. Obamacare could very well be the unifying catalyst that drives more mainstream Republicans to victory. And as badly as Dems have been burned by the law's rollout, the Tea Party is still smarting from the government shutdown debacle.

And, keep in mind, business leaders are already united in their crusade against the disruptive Tea Party activists. Just this week, The Hill reported the U.S. Chamber of Commerce planned to spend $50 million in next year's midterms to support centrist GOP candidates.

"Our No. 1 focus is to make sure, when it comes to the Senate, that we have no loser candidates," the Chamber's Scott Reed said in a Wall Street Journal interview. "That will be our mantra: No fools on our ticket."

Meanwhile, the latest in a rash of early presidential polls calls the 2016 presidential race essentially too close to call — but only if Hillary Clinton and Gov. Chris Christie are the candidates. The CNN poll put Christie ahead of Clinton, by 2 points, well within the margin of error.

Here's hoping the GOP doesn't succumb to its baser desires and decide to run a fringe candidate instead of running to win.

But, again, Clinton's been here before. Two years can be a lifetime in presidential politics, especially with an electorate as forgetful and short-sighted as ours.

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