Winners, losers

A clear picture of the winners and losers from Camp's plan will emerge in the coming days and weeks. Generally, companies that now pay high effective tax rates will get a boost from the plan's rate cuts and lose little from the vanishing breaks. Companies and constituencies that benefit from the current system would likely pay more under Camp's plan.

Retailers, medical device makers and franchise businesses yesterday were supportive of the plan.

"We need to carry the message that this is absolutely, critically important," said Kirt Johnson, vice president of tax policy for the Retail Industry Leaders Association, which includes Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Target Corp. and other big-box chains.

The oil, financial services, private equity and real estate industries were more critical.

"A targeted tax on financial institutions, regardless of form or motivation, is misguided and utterly at odds with the fundamental objective of comprehensive tax reform," said a letter from 11 banking groups, including associations that represent Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc

Business groups

The largest U.S. business groups, including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable, applauded Camp's effort as progress toward boosting economic growth while stopping short of a full endorsement.

Declarations that Camp's plan is dead on arrival are disappointing, Business Roundtable President John Engler told reporters on a conference call today.

"The groups that are going to struggle with this in terms of their lobbying are those that have said for a long time that they don't like the current tax code, but they don't like any proposals and they've got none of their own," Engler said. "That's a hard position to be in."

Small-government groups such as Americans for Prosperity also praised Camp's plan.

Camp, 60, is a Michigan Republican who is chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee. He said yesterday that he expects to hear plenty of objections to specific provisions — and that the public wants a simpler tax system.

Stronger economy

"What they really want, and what this plan delivers, is a stronger economy," he said, citing a nonpartisan congressional study showing that the plan would boost economic growth.

Lawmakers in both parties don't expect Camp's plan to become law this year. House Republican leaders have distanced themselves from the details and haven't committed to allowing a vote. While the plan doesn't change the amount of revenue generated for the Treasury, Democrats want to use some of the revenue raised from limiting tax breaks to reduce the budget deficit or pay for more spending.

Senate leaders from both parties said this week that they saw little if any chance of bridging those big-picture divides. Even if they could, they would have to overcome opposition to changes in long-standing tax breaks for mortgage interest, charitable contributions and state and local taxes.

Starting point

Still, Leonard Burman, director of the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center in Washington, said Camp's proposal is worth studying as it will become a starting point for future tax policy. In that sense, he said, Camp has done a "real service" by showing the tradeoffs needed to pay for rate cuts and simplification.

"Everybody knows that we need tax reform and I think anybody that pays attention knows that it's hard," said Burman, who was a Treasury Department official in President Bill Clinton's administration. "Everybody who looks at the plan will have issues with it. That's kind of the nature of tax reform."

For individuals, Camp would make the tax system simpler by increasing the standard deduction and the child tax credit, repealing the personal exemption and limiting or removing many deductions. The percentage of taxpayers who itemize would fall to about 5 percent from about 30 percent.

Eliminating deductions

Taxpayers could no longer deduct state and local taxes, moving expenses, tax preparation fees, student loan interest or alimony payments, among others.

They could deduct mortgage interest on the first $500,000 of principal, down from $1 million now. They could only deduct charitable contributions that exceed 2 percent of adjusted gross income.

Camp would create a three-bracket structure with a top rate of 35 percent, compared with the top rate of 39.6 percent today. For married couples in 2015, that means 10 percent on the first $74,800 of taxable income and 25 percent on taxable income up to $464,200.

Above that, a very different set of rules would be in place. A 10 percent tax would apply on a base that includes the value of employer-sponsored health insurance, contributions to retirement accounts and municipal bond interest while excluding manufacturing income and charitable contributions.

High-income taxpayers would also lose the benefit of the 10 percent bracket, the standard deduction and the child tax credit.

'Hidden taxes'

Those changes amount to "hidden taxes" that make the rate cuts for top earners less advantageous than they seem, Burman said. The loss of such benefits helps ensure that the tax burden doesn't shift away from top earners, according to the nonpartisan congressional Joint Committee on Taxation.

Dividends and long-term capital gains would have a 40 percent exclusion, leaving effective rates for the highest- income taxpayers little changed.

Taxpayers would have to live in their homes for five of the past eight years — instead of two of the past five — to exclude capital gains from their home sale from income.

Anti-poverty groups, including the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, warned of the potential effects from Camp's proposal to shrink the earned income tax credit for low-income workers. Camp makes other changes that would benefit some low- income families, and on average, by 2017, taxes would decline for households earning under $200,000, according to nonpartisan congressional estimates.

For corporations, Camp would set the income tax rate at 25 percent. That's down from today's 35 percent rate, which is the highest in the industrialized world.

Research, advertising

The plan would repeal accelerated depreciation, require the amortization of research and advertising expenses and impose a quarterly 3.5 basis-point tax on the assets of the biggest banks and insurers.

It also includes a series of miscellaneous changes that will receive more scrutiny, such as an end to the National Football League's tax exemption, new tax rules for real estate investment trusts and limits on deducting gambling expenses.

Tony Fratto, a former George W. Bush administration official, is among some Republicans who see Camp's plan as countering the party's philosophy on taxes and even echoing proposals made by President Barack Obama.

"He's made a populist lurch to try to win friends, and I think it lacks credibility and doesn't advance the cause," Fratto said in a telephone interview yesterday. He is a partner at Hamilton Place Strategies in Washington, a firm that advocates for big banks and insurance.

'Big cost'

"The big cost is that Democrats are going to accept things like a bank tax," Fratto said. "I can see the Obama administration pocketing things like that and saying it's a quote-unquote Republican idea, when really it's just Dave Camp's idea."

U.S.-based multinational companies would have lighter taxes on certain future profits outside the country. They would have to pay a one-time tax on accumulated earnings under the current system, with a higher rate for cash and equivalents than for hard assets such as factories.

The plan would push people into Roth-style retirement plans that rely on after-tax money instead of tax-deferred accounts. New contributions to standard individual retirement accounts would end.

Private equity managers and others who receive profits as carried interest would pay $3.1 billion more over the next decade, with a portion of income that is now considered capital gains becoming ordinary income with higher rates. The plan excludes real estate professionals and is a smaller tax increase than the one Obama has proposed.

"Even if it doesn't move forward this year, making our members' priorities known is important," Chris Whitcomb, tax counsel for the National Federation of Independent Business, said in a telephone interview.

The NFIB, which represents small businesses, opposes Camp's plan because many of its members don't benefit from the corporate-rate cut.

"This could serve as a benchmark for reform," Whitcomb said, "and it's important for everyone to take it seriously."

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