In science, it's easier to disprove a universal hypothesis. Youonly need to find one counter-example to bust the entirehypothesis. You might hypothesize, “Man-made industrial era carbonemissions are solely responsible for causing global warming.” Thatis a universal hypothesis because, by identifying a single warmingperiod that occurred prior to industrialization (e.g., the MedievalWarm Period), you can disprove this universal hypothesis.

You might say, “Why not add appropriate hedging language to makeit harder to disprove the hypothesis?” A non-universal hypothesismight be: “High carbon levels in the atmosphere may increase globalwarming.” This wording makes it more difficult to disprove thehypothesis. You can find a period where high carbon levels existduring an Ice Age era (some research suggest this may have been thecase), but that does not disprove the hypothesis (since thehypothesis contains the word “may”). In addition, the hypothesiscontains no baseline to reference any increase. Failing to see anincrease may not disprove the hypothesis because temperatures mayhave actually been lower if carbon content would have beenlower.

This represents a hypothesis that's virtually impossible todisprove. You might think this is an ideal hypothesis, but then youwill have exited the realm of science and entered the world ofpolitics. In science, the only purpose of creating a hypothesis isto discover a theory, i.e., a universal truth. To discover auniversal truth, you need a universal hypothesis. Any lesserhypothesis has no value in science or truth, telling you a lotabout politics.

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Christopher Carosa

Chris Carosa has been writing a weekly article and monthly column for BenefitsPRO online and BenefitsPRO Magazine since 2011 and is a nationally recognized award-winning writer, researcher and speaker. He’s written seven books, including From Cradle to Retire: The Child IRA; Hey! What’s My Number? – How to Increase the Odds You Will Retire in Comfort; A Pizza The Action: Everything I Ever Learned About Business I Learned By Working in a Pizza Stand at the Erie County Fair; and the widely acclaimed 401(k) Fiduciary Solutions. Carosa is also Chief Contributing Editor of the authoritative trade journal FiduciaryNews.com and publisher of the Mendon-Honeoye Falls-Lima Sentinel, a weekly community newspaper he founded in 1989. Currently serving as President of the National Society of Newspaper Columnists and with more than 1,000 articles published in various publications, he appears regularly in the national media. A “parallel” entrepreneur, he actively runs a handful of businesses, including a small boutique investment adviser, providing hands-on experience for his writing. A trained astrophysicist, he also holds an MBA and has been designated a Certified Trust and Financial Advisor. Share your thoughts and story ideas with him through Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/christophercarosa/)and Twitter (https://twitter.com/ChrisCarosa).