What a difference a week makes.
Last week, many commentators (including me) saw the Graham-Cassidy bill as a bit of Hail Mary legislating, a last desperate stand against Obamacare. This week, it started to look as if it might actually have some chance of passage. The legislative math remains daunting; the parliamentary obstacles high. But the status of Republican health-care efforts has moved from “flatline” to “still breathing, barely.”
The situation is so fluid that I don’t want to make predictions, other than to say that the chances of passage are still south of 50 percent. But as long as it’s a live possibility, we have to think about what passage might mean. I think that one of the most interesting, and least explored, questions is what our health-care politics would look like if this thing managed to pass.
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