Donald Trump (Photo: AP)

The Trump administration's 2021 budget proposal projects robust economic growth over the next decade, and in turn higher payroll receipts that would shrink Social Security's swelling deficit.

The budget proposal, released Monday, projects Real Gross Domestic Product will be 2.8 percent in 2020 and 3.1 percent in 2021. From 2022 to 2025, the proposal projects 3 percent GDP growth, ultimately settling at 2.8 percent in 2030.

That kind of robust growth would translate to higher payroll taxes to fund Social Security. According to the White House's budget proposal, Social Security's portion of the payroll tax will generate $1.23 trillion in 2025, $1.59 trillion in 2030, and $12.8 trillion for the next decade.

Rose-colored glasses?

None of those receipts will be enough to cover Social Security's costs.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking benefits news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical converage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Nick Thornton

Nick Thornton is a financial writer covering retirement and health care issues for BenefitsPRO and ALM Media. He greatly enjoys learning from the vast minds in the legal, academic, advisory and money management communities when covering the retirement space. He's also written on international marketing trends, financial institution risk management, defense and energy issues, the restaurant industry in New York City, surfing, cigars, rum, travel, and fishing. When not writing, he's pushing into some land or water.