In one scenario, the rise of digital comparative shopping tools could drive providers to lower pricing, while patients begin to seek virtual or retail clinic care forr all but the “highest acuity care episodes.” (Photo: Shutterstock)

It’s anybody’s guess what health care will look like in the year 2030, but management consulting company Oliver Wyman narrowed the list of possibilities down to four scenarios.

The article, published recently online, was written by Fritz Heese, a partner in Oliver Wyman’s Health & Life Sciences and Organizational Effectives Practices and David Fries, a senior knowledge expert in the company Health and Life Sciences division. Per their findings, U.S. health care presently makes up 18% of the total gross domestic product, with 38% of that spending going to hospitals, 23% to physician services and 12% to prescription drugs.

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