In one scenario, the rise ofdigital comparative shopping tools could drive providers to lowerpricing, while patients begin to seek virtual or retail clinic careforr all but the "highest acuity care episodes." (Photo:Shutterstock)

It's anybody's guess what health care will look like in the year2030, but management consulting company Oliver Wyman narrowed thelist of possibilities down to four scenarios.

The article, published recently online, was written by FritzHeese, a partner in Oliver Wyman's Health & Life Sciences andOrganizational Effectives Practices and David Fries, a seniorknowledge expert in the company Health and Life Sciences division.Per their findings, U.S. health care presently makes up 18% of thetotal gross domestic product, with 38% of that spending going tohospitals, 23% to physician services and 12% to prescriptiondrugs.

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Frank Ready

Frank Ready is a reporter on the tech desk at ALM Media. He can be reached at [email protected].