The U.S. population is projected to grow by 10.6% by 2034, with a projected 42.4% increase in those aged 65 and above, leading to greater demand for physician specialties that predominantly care for older Americans.

It may become increasingly difficult to find primary and secondary care over the next decade. The United States could see a shortage of between 37,800 and 124,000 physicians by 2034, according to a new study from the Association of American Medical Colleges.

“The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted many of the deepest disparities in health and access to health-care services, and exposed vulnerabilities in the health care system,” said Dr. David J. Skorton, president and CEO of the association. “The pandemic also has underscored the vital role that physicians and other health care providers play in our nation’s health care infrastructure and the need to ensure we have enough physicians to meet America’s needs.”

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