The Morning Consult discusses a poll today on people’s views ofthe Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. It looks likepeople are moderately afraid of “employer dumping” -- employersterminating benefits and forcing employees to buy insurancepolicies on the exchanges. Most of them seem to think that thiswould have a somewhat or very negative impact on their coverage andexperience. Unsurprisingly, this breaks down strongly alongpartisan lines: Republicans are most likely to think PPACA willnegatively affect them, Democrats the least.
See also: Workersfret getting shifted to exchanges
But how likely is this? There are all sorts of estimates outthere, but all of them are barely one step above a wild guess.We’ve never done anything like this before, so how do we know howemployers will react? But there’s one thing worth noting: If youbelieve the poll, the very strength of the negative expectationsprobably makes employers less likely to do this.
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