Rollercoaster loops showing one group of riders upside down (Photo: Shutterstock)

In June of 2020 our annual publication on our view of interest rates was published in BenefitsPRO, which was an interesting time in the economy due to the ongoing pandemic. The Fed had moved the Fed Funds rate to 0.00% – 0.25%, unemployment spiked up to 15%, and credit spreads had widened out considerably. We’ve since moved through a US presidential election, had multiple vaccines approved for distribution to combat COVID-19, and continued to see equity markets provide positive returns. This quick update looks at what changed in the second half of 2020 and our thoughts on what might happen with interest rates based on where we’re at today.

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